howdy

Data, systems, and the occasional side project.

see what I've been up to

a bit about me

I spend most of my time making sense of messy information. There is something genuinely satisfying about pulling a clear signal out of noise, whether that is in a spreadsheet, a database, or a model that is slowly learning to think for itself.

Outside of that, I tinker. I build things that probably do not need to exist but turn out to be more interesting than I expected. Sometimes those things are software. Sometimes they are physical. Usually there is data involved somewhere.

This site is the overlap of all of it. Work, experiments, and whatever else I am currently deep into.

things I have been building

marketing mix analysis

Case study comparing how TikTok, Facebook and Google Ads convert spend into sales, using two competing models that end up disagreeing by nearly 2x on how much credit Google Ads really deserves.

dataanalysis
take a look

loan portfolio risk

Case study across over a million resolved loans testing whether declining the riskiest borrowers would help profitability, finding that pricing already compensates for the risk in every segment tried.

dataanalysis
take a look

retail inventory forecasting

Case study across 100 store and product combinations weighing stockouts against holding costs, finding the current process already beats every formal reorder policy tested, including a 99% service target.

dataanalysis
take a look

transparency lab

Financial research platform that mines SEC filings and regulatory disclosures to surface insider transactions and connected party relationships individual investors would otherwise miss.

databuildweb
take a look

say hello

Working on something interesting? Want to talk through a problem? Just want to say hi? Fill this out and I will write back.